Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 23.703127 27.441090 31.508902 36.255578 41.633081 47.526670 54.465253
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 17.204069 22.272558 28.343206 36.106715 45.723666 57.194210 71.855174
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 13.026567 18.459213 25.483987 35.137102 47.945556 64.231601 86.359130
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.570325 16.164576 23.876057 35.118133 50.889203 71.993316 102.083481
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.882975 14.530197 22.763181 35.395101 53.979073 79.943203 118.484869
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.018637 12.263598 20.338002 33.350357 53.378754 82.518812 127.429914
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.256842 11.561968 20.112151 34.467014 57.400784 91.892422 146.695252
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.766462 11.211909 20.359075 36.289014 62.594419 103.327763 169.794097
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.891638 10.042020 19.081853 35.442982 63.407958 108.038502 182.886310
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.043966 8.772394 17.447004 33.762650 62.618075 110.056612 191.770332
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.866482 8.752349 18.025411 35.985036 68.578091 123.368788 219.651464
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.837475 9.020809 19.157367 39.299462 76.683524 140.752751 255.297030
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.422685 8.456525 18.694934 39.730679 79.924946 150.542833 279.612965
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.953413 7.698897 17.764581 39.191396 81.404966 157.522586 299.876967
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.503802 6.896166 16.620127 38.074362 81.659320 162.310978 316.618228
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.208814 6.399949 16.048538 38.039301 83.965788 170.941757 340.755996
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.977366 6.014570 15.661477 38.333854 86.928071 180.967674 368.063651
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.619081 5.220259 14.215406 36.136619 84.572003 180.696977 376.166843
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.507466 5.075837 14.285980 37.336235 89.407925 194.654915 412.075814
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.445063 5.059928 14.668470 39.293137 96.026362 212.560675 456.663693
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.249922 4.607198 13.879677 38.384542 96.289769 217.717150 476.617762
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.044001 4.070059 12.782129 36.579477 94.355045 218.202699 487.262115
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.026300 4.140940 13.337750 38.966694 102.210723 239.577912 541.369279